New Zogby Analytics Poll: Obama Approval Bounces to 46%

John Zogby

by John Zogby

President Barack Obama faces numerous crises, any of which can threaten his presidency, the nation’s security, public, and the state of our economy. While critics and opponents are having a field day charging that Mr. Obama is probably not up to the job, the public doesn’t appear to be giving up on him.

The new Zogby Analytics Poll, conducted online October 15-16, indicates that the President’s approval rating has actually bounced up from 43% in September to 46%. The nationwide poll of 887 likely voters has a margin of sampling error of +/-3.4 percentage points.

The President’s performance appears to be improving across the board, particularly among key elements of the Democrats’ electoral base. Mr. Obama’s rating was up two points among men (42%-44%) but up five points among women (to 47%). He also went up 13 points among 18-29 year olds – 43% to 56%.┬áHe won re-election in 2012 with 61% of their vote.

This move can be significant if it is sustained and means that young voters turn out. He is also four points up among 30-49 year olds (to 51%). His approval stayed at 42% among 50-64 year olds and went down among voters over 66 – from 31% to 27%.

Democrats moved four points up (to 81%) and independents are now at 34%, from 29% last month. Moderates climbed to 51% from 44%), as did whites (from 29% to 36%), Hispanics (from 64% to 76%), Investors (52% to 54%), Weekly Wal-Mart Shoppers (46% to 55%), and members of the Creative Class (51% to 58%).

The overall figure of 46% is itself out of the danger zone, but the substantial increase among the young, Hispanics, and other key constituency groups could be a turning point. We have to see if this is sustained the closer we get to the actual election – as it did in 2012 – or is just a temporary blip.


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