Obama Increases Lead Among NJ Voters

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Barack Obama

Barack Obama

ATLANTA, Ga. – Strategic Vision, LLC, an Atlanta-headquartered public relations and public affairs agency, announced the results of a three-day poll of 800 likely voters in New Jersey on Oct. 1.  The poll showed that the Obama/Biden ticket leads McCain/Palin ticket 48% to 39% with 3% for other candidates; and 10% undecided.  The Democrats increased their lead dramatically over the past two weeks with the Republican ticket losing four percent.

The poll has a margin of error of ±3 percentage points.  In the poll, 320 respondents identified themselves as Democrats (40%); 224 respondents identified themselves as Republicans (28%); and 256 identified themselves as independents or other party affiliation (32%).

“New Jersey is returning to its traditional Democratic moorings,” said David E. Johnson, CEO of Strategic Vision.  “The economy has hurt McCain dramatically and white females have shifted back to the Democrats.”

The poll showed that 50% viewed Barack Obama favorably with 35% viewing him unfavorably; and 15% undecided.  Joseph Biden was viewed favorably by 47% of respondents with 35% viewing him unfavorably; and 18% undecided.  John McCain was viewed favorably by 46% of respondents with 42% viewing him unfavorably; and 12% undecided.  Sarah Palin was viewed favorably by 49% of respondents with 35% viewing her unfavorably; and 16% undecided.

“Over the past two weeks, the number of respondents viewing Obama favorably has increased and he is currently the most popular candidate,” said Johnson.  “This increase has been seen among white females and Independents.  At the same time, both McCain and Palin are seen more negatively.”

When asked who would be best able to handle the economy, 54% said Barack Obama; 34% said John McCain; and 12% were undecided.

“The economy is the number one issue in New Jersey and that is part of the reason for Obama’s strong lead,” said Johnson.  “On this issue, Obama has made inroads among white male voters.”

When asked who would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, 46% said McCain; 44% said Obama, and 10% were undecided.

“Obama has nearly wiped out McCain’s lead on handling the Iraq War, and is making inroads among independents on that issue,” said Johnson.

The results of the poll showed that 17% of those polled approved of President Bush’s overall job performance; with 76% disapproving; and 7% undecided.  When asked if they approved of the President’s handling of the economy, 13% approved; 78% disapproved; and 9% were undecided.  On the issue of Iraq, the poll found 35% approved of the President’s handling of the war; with 57% disapproving; and 8% undecided.   When asked if they approved of the President’s handling of the war on terrorism, 53% approved; 39% disapproved; and 8% were undecided.

“Besides the Democratic tilt of New Jersey, President Bush’s anemic poll numbers, are a key factor on why the Republican ticket is faring so poorly,” said Johnson.  “Even traditional Republicans rate the President poorly.”

When asked if they approved or disapproved of Gov. Jon Corzine’s job performance, 37% approved; 54% disapproved; and 9% were undecided.  Forty-nine percent of respondents approved of Senator Robert Menendez’s job performance; 35% disapproved; and 16% were undecided.  Senator Frank Lautenberg had 44% approving of his job performance; 39% disapproving; and 17% undecided.

In a Senate match-up between Democratic Senator Frank Lautenberg and Republican Dick Zimmer, Lautenberg led 48% to 41% with 11% undecided.

“While Lautenberg is not extremely popular, the Democratic tilt of the state favors Lautenberg,” said Johnson.  “If however this becomes an anti-incumbent year, Zimmer might have a shot.”

When asked if voters approved or disapproved of the way Congress is handling its job, 11% approved; 78% disapproved; and 11% were undecided.

“As in other states, approval for Congress in New Jersey is lower than the President’s and might at some point factor against Democrats and these numbers were prior to Congress’ rejection of the bailout (on Sept. 29),” said Johnson.

Strategic Vision, LLC is an Atlanta-headquartered public relations and public affairs agency.  Results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in New Jersey, aged 18+, and conducted Sept. 26-28 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.  Additional information on Strategic Vision, LLC may be obtained at www.strategicvision.biz.


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